Supporters of the Tyneside club are more and more viewing the team's squad as an inconsistent friend. When everything clicks, they transform into the ultimate thrill-seekers, unleashing high-octane displays. However, in other matches, previously reliable players like Sandro Tonali and others completely go missing.
Exacerbating these problems is a second-half approach suffused by a pronounced element of chaos. Before their trip to Manchester United, the facts reveal a sobering story: they have dropped 13 crucial Premier League points from winning situations this season and are without a clean sheet in 10 straight outings in every tournament. Claiming a win at Old Trafford would constitute only their second domestic triumph on the road this season.
Conversely, defeat has only come on one occasion in their most recent 6 Premier League fixtures, and although occupying a modest 11th spot, they remain a mere 6 marks away from the highly-prized top four. Factor in an impending two-legged League Cup semi-final against the reigning champions and a decent opportunity of moving on to the Champions League knockout phase, and it is easier to understand the manager's guarded hope.
“It's not only about problems,” remarked the club's head coach. “You can see positives too. The perspective here is very much positive currently. I understand outside observers might have a divergent view, but my belief is we are making progress.”
The puzzle persists: will this group recreate – or perhaps eclipse – the achievements of last season's Wembley triumph and European-qualifying standing? Managing a congested calendar hinders.
This tiredness might be the reason behind the inability to maintain a superb opening 45-minute performance versus Chelsea, ultimately surrendering a two-goal lead to draw 2-2. Likewise, it is possibly the explanation for a subdued display in a damaging defeat to local rivals Sunderland, where the team appeared sluggish just a short time after a grueling Champions League excursion.
While coaching is undoubtedly Howe's strength, the relentless schedule of twice-weekly matches has radically limited crucial practice hours. This impedes the team's tactical adaptation to operating with new striker their number nine up front, rather than the now departed their former star. While extremely gifted, the German forward does not possess the equivalent blistering breakaway pace or intense defensive work rate.
In fact, the team's previously effective high press has at times malfunctioned. Fitness issues to vital engine the Brazilian midfielder have not helped, while big-money signings the Swedish winger and the English midfielder have struggled settling after their combined £90m+ transfers.
If a move to a back three might arguably help the cause, a severe backline injury list renders that difficult. Important full-backs will be absent for the upcoming crucial matches, further testing the team's depth.
At their high-tempo peak, they look almost unstoppable. The catch is sustaining that level for the entire match. The typical alternative approach of dropping deep into a deep-lying defensive formation has sometimes proven counterproductive.
“The Chelsea match descended into disorganized at 2-2,” admitted the manager. “But the intention was going for the victory. We always try to win.”
What seems required is a middle ground – with better possession control, a engine room adept of controlling the tempo, and a sensible readiness to occasionally settle for a point. Yet, a determination to challenge on every fronts is testing finite player options to their limit.
It may appear unthinkable to some, but a different approach in the domestic cups earlier could have eased the current fixture pile-up. With critical European and Premier League games on the agenda, the necessity to carefully prioritize is growing ever more obvious.
Eddie Howe recognized the scale of the task remaining. “When you're at a club of this size, the pressures are enormous. Each game is pivotal. There is progress to be made in the Premier League. We are in the Carabao Cup semi-finals, we aim to go through in the Champions League and perform in the FA Cup.
“The direction is in the correct path, but we have lots of improvement to do to become the consistently winning side we aspire to be. Our capacity to string together winning runs has eluded us this season.
“The challenge is to hit those heights we are aware we're capable of. The internal belief is that the confidence to achieve it is coming back. But now we have to demonstrate it. It ain't all doom and gloom currently, but the coming period will shape a lot.”
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